Tools Risk/reward
Trade planning Risk/reward calculator
Test the trade after costs, then turn its payoff and your estimated win rate into a multi-trade expectancy scenario.
Net reward for each 1 risked1.92R
Price payoff 2.00R before fees and slippage.
Positive expectancy at a 45.0% win rate.
- Loss at stop
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- Net gain at target
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- Breakeven win rate
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Outcome scenario
100 trades at the entered win rate
45 wins
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55 losses
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Expected net result—— per trade
What changes after costs
The raw price ratio compares the target distance with the stop distance. The net ratio subtracts fees and a slippage allowance from a winning trade and adds them to a losing trade. That is the ratio used for breakeven win rate and expectancy.
Expectancy formula
Expected value per trade = win rate × net target gain − loss rate × loss at stop. It is an average across a comparable sample, not a prediction for the next trade.
